世界超巨型油田产量变化特征及预测

来源 :第五届油气成藏机理与油气资源评价国际学术研讨会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：nx002

【摘要】

：

目前世界上66个超巨型油田的产量占了世界原油总产量的40％左右，可采储量占了世界总可采储量的49％。超巨型油田对世界的贡献巨大，同时世界对超巨型油田的影响也很显著。大多数超巨型油田因为政治、经济等原因发生限产，在限产条件下，传统的Hubbert模型已经不再适用超巨型油田的产量预测。笔者提出产能衰减的Hubbert模型，用来预测限产条件下超巨型油田的产量。

【作者】

：

苏瑾张映红

【机构】

：

中国石油大学(北京)资源与信息学院北京 102249 中国石油勘探开发研究院北京100083

【出处】

：

第五届油气成藏机理与油气资源评价国际学术研讨会

【发表日期】

：

2009年7期

【关键词】

：

超巨型油田产量预测 Hubbert模型产能衰减

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世界超巨型油田产量变化特征及预测

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