【摘 要】
：
According to the common econometrical research way,we evaluate the impact of weather disaster on Agriculture,Forest,Stockbreeding & Fishery (AFSF for short)
【机 构】
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Department of Atmospheric Science,NUIST,Nanjing,China
【出 处】
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第四届亚洲风险评估与管理国际会议(EARAM2009)
论文部分内容阅读
According to the common econometrical research way,we evaluate the impact of weather disaster on Agriculture,Forest,Stockbreeding & Fishery (AFSF for short).First,to build a non-theoretical VAR (vector auto-regression) model,which adopting direct economic loss data of AFSF resulted from weather disasters,capital,energy & labour force data combined.Then,estimating the model through Ordinary-Least-Square technique,the testing outcomes show that the model is estimated well (R2 is above 80% and every F Stat.value is obvious.) and stable (every identity radix is in the identity round).
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