中国对美国农产品贸易关系的持续时间分析

来源 :第五届复杂科学管理国际研讨会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：ping_ge

【摘要】

：

本文采用CEPII-BACI数据库1995-2009年中国出口到美国HS6分位农产品出口贸易数据,利用生存分析方法探讨中国对美国农产品出口贸易的持续时间.研究发现:中国对美国农产品出口持续时间普遍较短,中位生存时间为2年,59.2％的持续时间段在2年内消失;中美农产品贸易关系的风险函数存在明显的"门槛效应".因此,在制定我国农产品对美国出口的贸易政策的过程中,农产品的出口持续时间应得到足够的重视.

【作者】

：

余华漆雁斌

【机构】

：

四川农业大学,四川成都611130;四川出入境检验检疫局,四川成都610041 四川农业大学,四川

【出处】

：

第五届复杂科学管理国际研讨会

【发表日期】

：

2014年10期

【关键词】

：

农产品贸易关系持续时间中国美国

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中国对美国农产品贸易关系的持续时间分析

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