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根据西非大国尼日利亚2014年4月发布的国民收入统计报告,尼日利亚跃升为非洲第一大经济体,由此引发了国际社会对目前的非洲“领头羊”南非的地位的关注。文章首先通过回顾尼日利亚国民收入统计调整的背景、原因、特点对该报告的可信度进行了考察,认为其报告具有较强的可信度。接着,又在“地区领导国家”框架的基础上,对尼日利亚成为非洲第一大经济体的事实对南非的非洲“领头羊”地位的影响进行了分析,认为短期内尼日利亚尚难以取代南非的地位,但中长期内则极有可能超越南非,成为撒哈拉以南非洲的“领头羊”。
According to Nigeria’s statistics on national income released by Nigeria in April 2014, Nigeria jumped to become the largest economy in Africa, and this has drawn the attention of the international community to the current status of Africa’s “leader” and South Africa. First, the article reviews the credibility of the report by reviewing the background, causes and characteristics of Nigeria’s national income adjustment and concludes that its report has strong credibility. Then, on the basis of the framework of “regional leading countries,” an analysis of the impact of Nigeria’s becoming the largest economy in Africa on the status of Africa’s “leader” in South Africa is that Nigeria is still hard to come by in the short term Replace South Africa’s position, but in the medium and long term is most likely to go beyond South Africa, as sub-Saharan Africa “leader ”.