我国经济增速在一季度达到反危机政策刺激下快速回升的短期高点后出现回调,预计到明年一季度都将延续增速放缓走势。今年下半年和明年可能处于长中短多种经济周期下降期的重叠阶段,硬与经济周期性规律对抗去追求经济高增长,恐怕付出的政策代价过大,顺势减速并利用市场倒逼机制加快经济发展方式转变才是明智之举。 China’s economy has seen a callback since its short-term peak of rapid rebound stimulated by the anti-crisis policy in the first quarter. It is expected that the growth rate will slow down in the first quarter of next year. In the second half of this year and next year, it may be in the overlapping phase of the long, short and medium cycles of economic decline. In order to pursue economic growth with hard and periodic economic laws, I am afraid that the policies we pay will be too costly to slow down and make use of the market forcing mechanism to speed up The transformation of economic development is a wise move.