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本文通过建立一个两部门的一般均衡模型,从供给和需求两个层面分别分析了经济结构分化及其他非结构性因素对国内结构性通胀的作用途径和机制,并通过FAVAR计量模型,使用2002—2014年的季度数据进一步验证相应的结论。研究结果表明,无论是供给侧还是需求侧,结构分化特征和其他非结构性因素对结构性通胀的作用效果和作用路径不同。因此,应更加关注经济结构分化引发的结构性通胀风险防范,在治理结构性通胀方面,应重视产业政策、收入政策等结构性政策与货币政策等总量政策的协同配合。
By establishing a two-part general equilibrium model, this paper analyzes the ways and mechanisms of economic structural differentiation and other non-structural factors on domestic structural inflation from two aspects of supply and demand respectively. Through the FAVAR econometric model, The 2014 quarterly data further validated the corresponding conclusions. The results show that the effect of structural inflation and the path of action are different between structural differentiation and other non-structural factors, both on the supply side and the demand side. Therefore, we should pay more attention to the prevention of structural inflation risks caused by the differentiation of economic structure. In the management of structural inflation, we should pay attention to the coordination and cooperation of the total policies such as industrial policies, income policies and other structural policies and monetary policies.