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一、七十年代以来,西方一些学者对科技革命的社会后果进行了考察,出现了象罗马俱乐部的《增长的极限》,托夫勒的《未来的冲击》,这些影响很大的著作,引起人们对未来的关心。八十年代又出现了象托夫勒的《第三次浪潮》,奈斯比特的《大趋势——改变我们生活的十个新方向》等畅销书,又掀起了一个对未来思考的高潮。到了九十年代,对21世纪的预测,不论在中国还是外国,越来越成为热门话题。
Since the seventies, some scholars in the west have investigated the social consequences of the revolution in science and technology. There have been such “limits of growth” as in Rome’s clubs and “the future impact” of Toffler. These influential works have caused People care about the future. In the 1980s, there appeared the “Third Wave” of Tofflor, the best-selling book by Naisbitt’s “Megatrends - Ten New Directions to Change Our Lives” and set off a new wave of thinking about the future. By the 1990s, the forecast for the 21st century has become a hot topic both in China and abroad.