概率分析的注意事项如下: (1)对于上面的第三步骤,对未来事件主观概率的确定是否合理,是整个概率分析成功与否的关键。 (2)随着不确定性因素的变化的不同组合,可以得到不同的方案净现值和内部收益率,而这必然会给最后的决策带来混乱;为解决这个问题,应先找出几个最主要的不确 Probability analysis considerations are as follows: (1) For the third step above, determining whether the subjective probability of future events is reasonable or not is the key to the success or failure of the entire probability analysis. (2) With different combinations of changes in uncertainty factors, different solutions can be obtained for the net present value and internal rate of return, which will inevitably bring confusion to the final decision; to solve this problem, we should first find out The most important inaccuracies