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本文在对C-D模型和标准贸易理论进一步拓展的基础上,从出口、进口过程中经济要素的不同转移方向的分析角度说明了中国初级产品、工业制成品进出口贸易发展对主要贸易伙伴福利水平的影响及作用途径。基于1985～2006年的相关数据进行了经验分析,揭示了中国进出口贸易对不同贸易伙伴福利水平影响的差异性。从静态角度分析,中国进出口贸易对欧美经济体福利水平提升具有显著的拉动作用,而与亚洲近邻则呈现竞争与合作并存的格局,对其福利水平的影响并不明显;从动态的角度分析,中国进出口贸易,尤其是工业制成品的进出口贸易对主要贸易伙伴居民消费水平的作用呈现持续放大的局面。
Based on the further expansion of the CD model and the standard trade theory, this paper illustrates the benefits of China’s primary products and the development of the import and export trade of manufactured goods to the profitability of the major trading partners from the perspective of the different transfer directions of economic elements in the process of export and import. Influence and way of action. An empirical analysis based on the relevant data from 1985 to 2006 reveals the differences in the impact of China’s import and export trade on the welfare levels of different trading partners. From a static point of view, China’s import and export trade has a significant pulling effect on the improvement of the welfare level of the economies in Europe and the United States, while the competition with neighboring countries in Asia shows the coexistence of competition and cooperation, with no obvious effect on the level of welfare. From a dynamic perspective , The role of China’s import and export trade, especially the import and export trade of manufactured goods, to the consumption level of its major trading partners has been continuously magnified.