论文部分内容阅读
今年一季度中国经济增速仪为7.7%,显示去年四季度经济好不容易出现的止跌回升态势再次出现了反复(2011年1季度至2012年3季度,中国经济增速出现了连续7个季度下滑),也让年初持中国强劲复苏的乐观派,多少有了一些失望;而4月份以来公布的一些高频数据,则进一步显示二季度中国的经济增速可能还将继续回落,而且随后国务院和政治局关于国民经济仍运行平稳的表态,则进一步让政策短期内放松的预期落空。在众多预期相继落空之后,市场对于自去年4季度出现经济复苏的真假之辩,也日益激烈;与
In the first quarter of this year, China’s economic growth rate stood at 7.7%, showing that the easing rebound in the fourth quarter of last year was repeated again and again (the first quarter of 2011 to the third quarter of 2012 saw China’s economic growth for seven consecutive quarters Decline), but also let the optimists holding China’s strong recovery at the beginning of the year somewhat disappointed. Some high-frequency data released since April further showed that the second quarter of China’s economic growth may continue to fall, and then the State Department And the Politburo’s statement that the national economy is still running smoothly further disappoints the expectation that the policy will relax in the short term. After many expectations come to nothing, the market is increasingly fierce about the true and false of economic recovery since the fourth quarter of last year; and