2012年,美国开始对我国产晶体硅光伏电池组件征收双反税,导致我国对美光伏组件出口额同比下降超过80%。假设与美国一样,双反后对欧盟出口额下降80%,那么按照2012年我国太阳能光伏产品对欧出口额111.9亿美元计算,我国光伏对欧出口将损失89.52亿美元。虽然目前中欧光伏谈判达成一致协议,欧盟“双反”成为虚惊一场,但我们不得不反思如何避免这样的“劫难”再次发生。 In 2012, the United States started to impose double taxation on China’s crystalline silicon photovoltaic cell components, which led to a drop of more than 80% in the volume of China’s PV exports to the United States. Assuming that, like the United States, exports to the EU will drop by 80% after double-reverse, then according to the calculation of China’s solar photovoltaic products exports to Europe in 2012 of 11.19 billion U.S. dollars, China’s PV exports to Europe will lose 8.952 billion U.S. dollars. Although the EU-China PV negotiations currently reach a consensus agreement, the European Union has become a false alarm. However, we have to reflect on how to avoid this kind of catastrophe again.