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根据魏斯科普夫利润率基本分解方法,可以将战后美国各个商业周期划分为明显的三个阶段:A阶段即早期扩张阶段,B阶段即后期扩张阶段,C阶段即周期性收缩阶段。对战后美国各个经济周期的分析可以发现,现有文献尽管倾向认为周期性危机发生前通常会出现利润率周期性下降,战后美国经济史并没有给予充分支持。尽管战后美国10个商业周期中,利润率的下降是6个周期性危机的可信原因,但是否是剩下4个周期性危机的原因并不确定。与利润率周期性下降相关的6次危机中有3次与劳动力市场力量趋强相关,这是构成周期性危机发生的最主要原因。仅分析美国经济战后利润率的短期波动,并不足以提供一个与凯恩斯周期危机理论相反的特定的新自由主义危机特征。
According to the basic decomposition method of Weisikuofu profit margins, the United States can be divided into three distinct business cycles after the war: A stage is the early expansion phase, B phase is the post-expansion phase, C phase is the cyclical contraction phase. An analysis of the various economic cycles of the United States after the war shows that although the existing literature tends to think that the periodic decline of profit normally occurs before a cyclical crisis, the post-war U.S. economic history has not given sufficient support. Although the decline in profit margin during the post-war 10 business cycles in the United States is the credible cause of the six cyclical crises, it is not certain whether the remaining four cyclical crises remain. Three of the six crises associated with the cyclical decline in profit margins have been correlated with the strength of the labor market, which is the main reason for the cyclical crisis. Analyzing only short-term fluctuations in the post-war profit rate of the United States economy is not sufficient to provide a particular neo-liberal crisis characteristic that is contrary to the Keynesian cycle crisis theory.