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在潜在经济增长率下移和“稳增长、调结构、促改革”的政策取向共同影响下,2012年7月以来,经济景气在“偏冷”区间出现弱回升态势,2013年8月已返回“正常”区间,未来经济有望保持平稳运行。预测2013年GDP增长率将达到7.7%。从2012年4季度开始,物价进入新一轮比较温和的上升周期,并可能持续到2014年2季度,预计2013年CPI上涨率为2.7%左右,仍然处于适度增长区间。
Under the influence of the downward potential economic growth rate and the policy orientation of “stabilizing growth, adjusting structure and promoting reform”, since July 2012, the economic climate has seen a weak recovery in the “partial cold” interval. In 2013 August has returned “normal ” range, the future economy is expected to remain stable operation. GDP growth forecast for 2013 will reach 7.7%. Starting from the fourth quarter of 2012, the price will enter a new round of relatively mild ascending period and may continue through the second quarter of 2014. The inflation rate of 2013 is expected to be around 2.7%, still in a modest growth range.