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文章着眼于时间序列,分析了信息系统构成要素在量上的扩张、质上的演进和构成上的完善。并在上述实证分析的基础上,对信息系统及其构成要素的成长进行了理论模拟。认为信息系统的成长存在一定的“生命周期”,信息系统及其构成要素的成长既依赖于信息系统的开放,又依赖于“成长”和“流动”的相互作用。
The article focuses on the time series, analyzes the quantitative expansion of the information system components, the qualitative evolution and the composition of the perfection. On the basis of the above empirical analysis, this paper theoretically simulates the growth of information system and its components. It is believed that the growth of information system has a certain “life cycle”. The growth of information system and its components depends not only on the openness of information system but also on the interaction between “growth” and “mobility”.