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对经济增长的预测,关系到我国今后经济发展战略的制订和实施。党的十四大报告中明确提出要把握时机,加快改革和建设步伐,力争我国经济过几年上一个新台阶,争取到本世纪末国民生产总值超过原定比一九八○年翻两番的要求,由温饱进入小康。所以,正确合理地分析预测未来的经济增长趋势,为我国经济发展战略的实现提供客观依据,是一项重要的研究课题。《经济研究》1992年第2期刊载的郑友敬,方汉中的《经济增长趋势研究》一文(以
The forecast of economic growth is related to the formulation and implementation of China’s future economic development strategy. The report of the party’s fourteenth congress clearly stated that we should seize the opportunity to accelerate the pace of reform and construction and strive to reach a new stage in our economy in the next few years and strive to quadruple the GNP of the end of this century The demand, from adequate food and clothing to well-off. Therefore, it is an important research topic to correctly and reasonably analyze and forecast the trend of economic growth in the future and provide an objective basis for the realization of China’s economic development strategy. Zheng Youjing, Fang Hanzhong’s “Research on the Trend of Economic Growth” published in Economic Research, No. 2, 1992