日本经济屡遭重创辗转回升,未来将温和复苏但风险犹存。2011年,日本经济接连遭受东日本大地震、泰国洪水两大灾害冲击,制造业在生产停顿、供应链中断的打击下伤痕累累。消费意愿的萎缩和外部需求的疲弱导致日本国内生产总值(GDP)在2011年前两个季度陷入负增长;但第三季度日本经济转降为升,并出现较强复苏。 Japan’s economy has repeatedly suffered a heavy blow and then recovered, with a moderate recovery in the future but risks still remaining. In 2011, the Japanese economy was hit successively by two major disasters, the Great East Japan Earthquake and the Thai Flood, and the manufacturing sector was scarred under the slash of production and the disruption of the supply chain. The decline in willingness to consume and weak external demand led Japan’s gross domestic product to plunge in the first two quarters of 2011; however, the Japanese economy turned positive in the third quarter with a strong recovery.