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就“亚洲四小龙”来观察,过去6年台湾地区经济成长率平均仅3．6％,低于韩国、香港地区的5．2％和新加坡的4．5％,敬陪末座。更令人忧心的是,台湾地区经济的动能也正在快速地减退。根据世界银行、国际货币基金(JMF)、亚洲开发银行等国际机构的预测,今年亚洲地区(不含日本)的经济成长率将超过6％以上,但是台湾地区经济成长率预估约仅4．1％至4．3％,不仅是“四小龙”之末,也是亚洲地区最后一名。下半年以来,各界陆续公布的明年经济景气预测中,普遍看好的亚洲新兴市场却唯独“缺席”台湾。
Observing the “Four Little Dragons in Asia”, Taiwan’s economic growth rate averaged only 3.6% in the past six years, down from 5.2% in South Korea, Hong Kong and 4.5% in Singapore. Even more worrisome is that the kinetic energy of Taiwan’s economy is also rapidly declining. According to forecasts by international agencies such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (JMF) and the Asian Development Bank, the economic growth rate in Asia (excluding Japan) will exceed 6% this year, but the economic growth rate in Taiwan is estimated at only about 4%. 1% to 4.3%, not only the “four little dragons” at the end, but also the last one in Asia. Since the second half of the year, the emerging economic markets in Asia, which are generally bullish in the prediction of next year’s economic climate announced by all walks of life, have only “absent” Taiwan.