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本文首先分析了1985—1990年间我国能源地区供需平衡格局出现的三个新变化以及主要四片缺能区的空间分布.接着.采用经过修订的能源消费因素分析法(RRS分析法).指出工业总量增长和能源利用效率是决定我国主要快能区能源消费增长的两项主导因素.工业结构性节能的作用十分微弱,原因主要在于缺能地区工业化进程中持续的重化学工业取向和产业结构调整的客观障碍.文章最后提出一些政策性结论.
This paper first analyzes three new changes in the energy supply and demand balance between 1985 and 1990 in China and the spatial distribution of the four major energy deficiencies. then. Revised energy consumption factor analysis (RRS analysis). It is pointed out that the growth of total industrial output and energy efficiency are the two major factors that determine the growth of energy consumption in China’s major fast-energy regions. The effect of industrial structural energy saving is very weak, mainly due to the objective obstacle to the continuous heavy chemical industry orientation and industrial restructuring in the process of industrialization in the impoverished areas. The article concludes with some policy conclusions.