论文部分内容阅读
中欧和东欧国家的改革只是依据了理论上最有利的“和平红利”假说 ,可这在实践上却会导致社会总产出的巨幅下降。急剧的私有化使国企大量倒闭 ,这又使国家的税收流失 ,从而陷入了物价飞涨 ,经济萎缩 ,财政赤字的恶性循环。中国的成功经验在于在改革的同时注重对国企的改造和管理 ,这使中国在私有和其它经济成分迅速发展的同时国企也有所发展 ,这就保证了国家的税收和宏观调控能力。投资与储蓄的私有化反过来又保证了经济高速增长 ,填补了国企在竞争淘汰和结构调整中所造成的空缺和损失。中国的渐进式改革不一定是最好的选择 ,它多少有些无奈 ,但却是避免落入陷井的最好战略。
The reforms in Central and Eastern European countries are based on the most theoretically favorable “peace dividend” hypothesis, but this in practice can lead to a huge decline in total social output. The rapid privatization has led to a large number of state-owned enterprises to go bankrupt, which in turn has caused the loss of state revenue and thus has plunged into a vicious cycle of soaring prices, shrinking economies and fiscal deficits. China’s successful experience lies in paying attention to the reform and management of state-owned enterprises while reforming. This has led to the rapid development of China’s private and other economic sectors as well as the development of state-owned enterprises. This has ensured the country’s taxation and macro-control capabilities. Privatization of investment and saving in turn ensured rapid economic growth and filled the vacancies and losses caused by state-owned enterprises in the phase-out and structural adjustment of competition. Gradual reform in China is not necessarily the best choice. It is somewhat helpless, but it is the best strategy to avoid falling into the trap.