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利用１９７３～１９９２年鲁西南小麦条锈病发生程度和各月北半球５００ｈＰａ平均高度，初步探讨了条锈病发生程度与大气环流的关系。并建立了性能稳定的预报方程，经检验历史拟合率达９０％，时效提前１～２个月，预报准确。
Based on the occurrence of wheat stripe rust in southwestern Shandong from 1973 to 1992 and the average height of 500 hPa in northern hemisphere in each month, the relationship between the occurrence of stripe rust and atmospheric circulation was discussed. And the establishment of a stable performance of the forecasting equation, the test history fitting rate of 90%, aging 1 to 2 months ahead of schedule, forecasting accuracy.