中国经济在“硬着陆”吗?我们不这么看。关于中国经济的真实状况,虽说兼听则明,但有些论断实在太荒谬。比如,眼下流行甚广的一个说法,称中国实际经济增长远低于官方公布的7%,可能只有4%,证据是统计期内用电量的大幅减少。官方的数据是否存在高估另当别论,但仅凭用电量就做出这样悲观的判断,在逻辑上有硬伤。用电量减少固然可能说明实体经济开工不足, Is China’s economy “hard landing”? We do not think so. As for the real situation of China’s economy, it is ridiculous to say that it is both true and false. For example, there is a widespread saying now that China’s real economic growth is far below the official figure of 7%, perhaps only 4%, as evidenced by the drastic reduction in electricity consumption during the statistical period. Whether there is any overestimation of official data is another matter, but such a pessimistic judgment made solely by electricity consumption is logically flawed. Although the reduction in electricity consumption may explain the real economy is underdeveloped,