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长期以来,我们深信不疑地认为,武昌起义后,袁世凯复出是顺理成章的事情,是没有任何悬念的历史必然。其实,在袁世凯出山一事上,似乎偶然性的作用更大些,但并非否认其自身因素所起的关键作用。由于历史发展是靠合力,形势永远比人强,因而片面强调哪一方面的作用,都有违历史真实。袁世凯复出看似历史的必然,实则各种因素际会的结果。
For a long time, we firmly believe that after the Uprising of Wuchang, Yuan Shikai’s return is a matter of course, and there is no historical inevitability that there is no suspense. In fact, it seems that contingency plays a bigger role in the process of Yuan Shikai’s coming to the mountain, but he does not deny the crucial role played by his own factor. Since historical development is based on synergy and the situation is always stronger than that of the people, one-sided emphasis on the role of any one side is against the truth of history. Yuan Shih-kai seemingly necessary historical return, but in reality the result of various factors.