论文部分内容阅读
本文基于西方经典消费理论思想,提出收入分布变迁的市场效应假说。利用中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)12011年的数据,以汽车市场为例,采用分位数回归技术分析了城乡居民家庭收入分布变迁对耐用品消费需求的影响。分析结果表明:对于如汽车等大型耐用品的消费来说,城乡居民收入已经成为其主要影响因素;城镇居民不同分位数上汽车消费的收入弹性呈现出“U”形特征,且城镇家庭资产在大型耐用品消费中的影响程度依然占主导地位;对于农村居民,收入则是其汽车消费主要驱动因素,而资产的影响并不显著;社会保障体系的完善,将有利于城乡消费水平的进一步提升。此外发现我国居民消费在存在城乡二元结构的同时,还具有显著的地域特征。最后,本文针对得出的结论提出了相应的政策建议。
Based on the western classical theory of consumption, this paper proposes the market effect hypothesis of income distribution changes. Using data from the China Family Financial Survey (CHFS) in 2011, taking the automobile market as an example, this paper uses the quantile regression technique to analyze the impact of changes in income distribution of urban and rural households on consumer demand for durable goods. The results show that the income of urban and rural residents has become the main factor for the consumption of large durables such as automobiles. The income elasticity of car consumers in different quantiles shows a “U” shape, and the urban The impact of household assets on the consumption of large-scale durable goods still dominates; for rural residents, the income is the main driver of automobile consumption while the impact of assets is not significant. The improvement of the social security system will benefit the urban and rural consumption level Further improvement. In addition, it is found that the consumption of residents in our country has significant regional characteristics at the same time with the dual structure of urban and rural areas. Finally, this article puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations for the conclusions drawn.