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分蓄洪区是平原防汛防洪的一项重要措施,但其工程建设普遍滞后,与中央政府、地方政府、社会群体和个人等投资不足密切相关。本文从博弈论的视角、用纳什均衡模型来分析中央政府和地方政府在分蓄洪区工程建设投资中出现的博弈问题,并以洪湖分蓄洪区为例,按不同的投资规模具体解释在蓄洪工程建设投资中主要依靠中央政府、而分蓄洪区政府投资不足的原因,最后有针对性地提出分蓄洪区走出工程建设投资困境的对策建议。
The flood diversion area is an important measure for flood control and flood control in the plain. However, its construction generally lags behind and is closely related to the under-investment of the central government, local governments, social groups and individuals. From the perspective of game theory, this paper uses Nash equilibrium model to analyze the game problems of central government and local government in investment in engineering construction of flood diversion and flood diversion areas. Taking flood diversion area of Honghu as an example, The main reason for the construction investment relying on the central government and the flood diversion area government investment is inadequate. Finally, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward that the flood diversion area out of the project construction investment predicament.