一、研究意义潜在产出、产出缺口和潜在经济增长率是宏观经济学的重要概念,是分析宏观经济态势以相机抉择的重要参考工具。潜在产出通常是指在合理稳定的价格水平下,使用最佳可利用的技术、最低成本的投入组合,在资本和劳动力的利用率达到充分就业要求时所能生产出来的产品和服务(Levy,1963);潜 I. Significance of Research Potential output, output gap and potential economic growth rate are important concepts in macroeconomics and are important reference tools for analyzing macroeconomic situation in order to make decisions on the camera. Potential output usually refers to the combination of the best available technology, the lowest-cost input portfolio, and the products and services that can be produced at a time when full capital and labor utilization rates have reached full employment requirements, at reasonably stable prices (Levy , 1963); potential