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本文通过构建联立方程模型对贸易开放、经济增长与劳动密集型出口产业结构调整之间的统计关系进行实证研究,同时利用VAR模型检验三者之间的相互作用。研究结果表明:经济增长不利于劳动密集型产业的发展,同时劳动密集型产业的发展也不利于经济增长;但贸易开放促进经济增长的同时阻碍了劳动密集型产业的发展。本文研究的政策含义是,当前政府应该优化劳动密集型产业结构,促进要素资源的合理配置;而且政府的外贸政策的重心应该放在改变出口产业结构,使之朝着有利于转变经济增长方式的方向转变。
Through establishing the simultaneous equations model, this paper conducts an empirical study on the statistical relationship between trade openness, economic growth and industrial restructuring of labor-intensive export industries. At the same time, the VAR model is used to test the interaction among the three. The results show that: economic growth is not conducive to the development of labor-intensive industries, while the development of labor-intensive industries is not conducive to economic growth; but trade liberalization to promote economic growth while hindering the development of labor-intensive industries. The policy implications of this study are that the current government should optimize the labor-intensive industrial structure and promote the rational allocation of resources and resources; and the government’s foreign trade policy should focus on changing the structure of export industries so that it is conducive to changing the pattern of economic growth The direction of change.