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药政管理要提高科学管理水平,为决策和计划提供科学的依据,必须应用预测技术.预测是建立在对世界客观规律认识基础上的认识活动,是对客观事物未来发展的预料、估计、分析和推测,把某一事件未来环境中的不确定因素极小化,并做出关于这一事件的科学估计,科学预测是现代化管理的一种手段,在制定药政药检规划、计划、决策时都要应用此项技术.一、预测的作用1.为确定正确的目标和发展方向提供科学的依据,为达到“2000年人人享有卫生保健”
In order to improve the level of scientific management and provide a scientific basis for decision-making and planning, the government must apply forecasting technology.Prediction is based on the understanding of the objective laws of the world, and is the anticipation, estimation and analysis of the future development of objective things And speculate that minimizing the uncertainties in the future environment of an incident and making scientific estimates about the incident, scientific prediction is a means of modern management. When formulating plans, plans and decisions for pharmaceutical and drug administration Should apply this technology.A forensic role 1 in order to determine the correct goal and direction to provide a scientific basis for the achievement of “all health in 2000”