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应用统计分析方法 ,分析厄尼诺 (El- Nin ～o)与广西气温、降水及各种灾害性天气的统计特征 ,结果表明厄尼诺对广西的异常气候是有一定影响的 :(1)厄尼诺年 ,广西的月气温、月降水出现异常概率分别为6 9%、 75 % ;(2 )厄尼诺年易出现春、秋季异常低温 ,春季多倒春寒 ,秋季寒露风日数偏多 ;(3)厄尼诺影响 ,引起广西部分江河致洪 ,而引起全区性洪涝机率较小 ,易造成广西异常干旱。
Statistical analysis was used to analyze the statistical characteristics of temperature, precipitation and various disastrous weather in El Nino and Guangxi. The results show that E Nino has some influence on the anomalous climate in Guangxi: (1) In the years of Ernory and Guangxi, the anomalous probability of monthly temperature and monthly precipitation were 69% and 75% respectively. (2) The spring and autumn were very cold in the Ernio year, the spring was more in spring and the number of days in autumn was more; (3) Influenced by Erno, floods were caused in some rivers in Guangxi, which caused a small probability of flooding in the whole region and easily led to abnormal drought in Guangxi.