通过对飞行器瞄准系统数据进行分析,确定了瞄准结果对正态分布的符合性;为使试验结果更具说服力,量化研究了试验次数与统计数据可信度的关系;通过对瞄准与瞄准校准系统的数学特性进行分析,提出了基于概率对瞄准结果进行判别的方法.“,”By analyzing the data of the aircraft aiming systems,the consistency of aiming results to the normal distribution is determined. In order to make the aiming results more convincing,the relation-ship between the number of experiments and the credibility of the statistical data is studied quantitatively. And then,by means of the analysis of the mathematical characteristics of the aiming system and the ai-ming calibration system,a method of judging the aiming result based on probability is put forward.