2004中国(四川)第二届房地产形势报告会上,几位经济学家均对房地产整体性过热、存在泡沫的说法予以否定。与会一些专家和房地产业内人士均表示,我国房价继续上涨不可避免。可以说,这是从央行加息以来,第一次有组织地否定房地产存在泡沫和公开鼓吹我国房价将会继续上涨的论调。笔者对一直鼓吹房价上涨不可避免论者进行了分析。大概有这样一些人:一是房屋中介组织和人员。一次,笔者路过某个房屋中介所,看到里面人头攒动,顺便进去看热闹。一个经纪人正在滔滔不绝地宣扬房价将会继续上涨,现在不买房,将来就买不起。买房是最好的保值增值,比钱存银行好几百倍,使听者中没房的马上就想买,有房的, 还想再买一套。二是房地产开发商。这类人员的关于房价上涨不可避免论已经屡屡见诸于报端。三是一些经济学家。这些经济学家极力鼓吹房价上涨不可避免论,或许出于对市场情况的真实分析而得出的结论,也不否认,存在替某个阶层代言的可能。 At the Second Real Estate Situation Report of China (Sichuan) in 2004, several economists denied the overheating and bubble of real estate. Attending some experts and real estate industry insiders said that China’s housing prices continue to rise inevitably. It can be said that this is the first time since the central bank raised interest rates, the first real-time denial of the existence of real estate bubble and openly advocated that China’s housing prices will continue to rise argument. I have been advocating the inevitable property prices rose were analyzed. There are probably some people: First, housing agencies and personnel. Once, I passed a housing agency, to see the crowded inside, by the way look at the fun. A broker is gushing to promote the price will continue to rise, do not buy a house now, in the future can not afford. Buy a house is the best value-added, bank hundreds of times better than money, so that the listener did not want to buy a house immediately, a room, but also want to buy one. Second, real estate developers. Inevitably, these kinds of people’s opinions about rising house prices have been repeatedly reported in the newspapers. Third, some economists. These economists strongly advocate the inevitable rise of house prices, perhaps from the real analysis of market conditions, and do not deny that there is a possibility of endorsing a certain class.