今年二季度能否成为本轮经济下行的底部?逆向调控能否真正奏效?三季度经济能否出现预期中的回升?各方观点分歧颇多。在连平看来,今年政府将经济增长目标调低为7.5%,但各方面比较能够接受的增长率应为8%,2012年中国经济能够实现预期的增长。多重因素聚合导致本轮经济下行从中长期来看,我国经济潜在增长率存在逐步放缓的趋势。主要表现在以下两个方面:首先,前期各项改革措施带来的经济拉动效应正在逐步 Can the second quarter of this year be the bottom of the current round of economic downturn? Can reverse regulation work really well? Can there be an expected rebound in the economy in the third quarter? Views vary widely. In Lianping’s view, the government will reduce its economic growth target to 7.5% this year, but its growth rate should be 8% in all aspects. In 2012, the Chinese economy will achieve the expected growth. Polymerization led to the current round of economic downturn In the medium to long term, the potential growth rate of China’s economy tends to slow down gradually. Mainly manifested in the following two aspects: First of all, the economic stimulus effect brought by various reform measures in the prior period is gradually