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已有的出行前信息提供条件下的通勤驾驶员路径选择行为通常忽略实时信息和所有出行者历史出行信息之间的相互影响,针对这一缺点,提出实时信息和历史信息共同作用下的出行前路径选择行为.通过利用有限理性理论,首先研究了历史信息对定量型和描述型2种实时信息的影响,结果发现历史信息对定量型实时信息的参考过程有重要影响,但对描述型信息的影响很小.在此基础上,基于考虑和不考虑实时信息的参考过程建立了3种路径选择模型,预测结果显示,在定量型和描述型信息2种情况下,考虑实时信息参考过程的路径选择模型能更好地描述驾驶员路径选择行为.
The existing route selection behavior of commuters under the pre-travel information provision generally neglects the interaction between real-time information and historical travel information of all the travelers. In view of this shortcoming, a pre-trip real-time information and historical information are proposed Path selection behavior.By using the theory of bounded rationality, we first study the influence of historical information on the two types of real-time information, both quantitative and descriptive. The results show that historical information has an important influence on the reference process of quantitative real-time information, And the impact is very small.On this basis, we establish three path selection models based on the reference process with and without considering real-time information, and the prediction results show that in the two cases of quantitative and descriptive information, consider the path of the real-time information reference process The selection model can better describe the driver’s path selection behavior.