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欧美债务困局难解,全球经济复苏乏力,短期衰退风险犹存。中国投资及消费增速持续回落,未来经济仍面临下行压力。外部需求回暖,微刺激政策陆续出台,外贸形势有望获得改善。消费者信心指数仍有起伏,采购经理人指数低位企稳,显示经济走向稳中有升,但仍然存在不确定性。房地产市场调控政策依然强硬,刚需仍在观望,房屋销售价格短期难有大起大落。人民币汇率贬值预期上升,5月外汇占款增幅急速下滑。
Europe and the United States debt difficult to resolve the debt crisis, the global economic recovery is sluggish, short-term recession risk still exists. China’s investment and consumption growth continued to drop, and the economy is still facing downward pressure in the future. External demand pick up, micro-stimulus policies have been introduced, the foreign trade situation is expected to be improved. Consumers confidence index is still ups and downs, the purchasing managers index stabilized low, indicating steady economic growth, but there are still uncertainties. Real estate market regulation and control policies are still tough, just need to still wait and see, housing sales price is unlikely to ups and downs in the short term. RMB exchange rate devaluation is expected to rise in May a sharp decline in the growth rate of foreign exchange.