这里所说的第一判断,是指挥员在指挥决策的思维活动中,初次分析战场情况并作出结论的思维活动。提出当心陷入第一判断失误的泥潭,是因为作战指挥中的初始决策,是指挥员全部指挥决策思维活动运行“链条”中的首要一环,是产生正确决策的起点和基石,在整个思维决策活动中占有重要地位,直接影响最终判断的正确与否。指挥员在指挥决策分析判断的思维活动中,常常容易执着于第一判断,在头脑中形 The first judgment here is that the commanders first analyze the situation in the battlefield and conclude their thinking activities in their thinking and decision-making activities. It is because the first decision in the operational command is the primary link in the operation of all command and decision thinking activities of the commanders and the starting point and cornerstone of the correct decision making. Thinking decision-making activities occupy an important position, a direct impact on the final judgment is correct or not. Commanders in the command and decision analysis to determine the thinking activities, often easily attached to the first judge, in the mind-shaped