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与历史上其他多轮能源价格波动相比的最大特点,在于其与金融市场息息相关。这种趋势不是偶然的,能源市场与金融市场正在逐步走向相互融合。由于市场担心美国政府金融援救计划导致美元贬值,全球油价9月22日疯涨16.37美元,创历史上最大单日涨幅。不难预料,在接下来几年中,作为全球信用核心货币的美元持续走弱局面可能难以根本逆转,因此,国际油价虽然出现短暂回落,但高位运行的局面仍将持续。发生在21世纪初期的本轮能源价格走强,除了美元因素外,需求增长、市场投机等因素也相互交织。
Compared with the history of many other rounds of energy price fluctuations, the biggest characteristic is that it is closely related with the financial markets. This trend is not accidental, energy market and financial markets are gradually converging. As the market fears the U.S. government’s financial rescue plan will lead to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, global oil prices skyrocketed by 16.37 U.S. dollars on September 22, the biggest one-day rise in history. It is not hard to predict that the continued weakening of the U.S. dollar as the global credit core currency will be hard to reverse in the coming years. As a result, the international oil price will temporarily retreat, but the high operation will continue. In the early 21st century, the current round of energy prices strengthened. Apart from the dollar factor, factors such as increased demand and market speculation were also intertwined.