为了实现哥伦比亚河条约评估的总体目标,对洪水风险实施有效控制,研制了一系列的模型,以便能够反映哥伦比亚河水系的洪水风险管理与水力发电状况。对建模的背景及其框架、确定性方法及概率性方法、分析计算流程及模拟结果等作了详细的介绍。 To achieve the overall goal of the Columbia River Treaty Assessment, effective control over flood risk and a series of models developed to reflect flood risk management and hydroelectricity in the Columbia River system. The background of the modeling and its framework, the deterministic and probabilistic methods, the analysis and calculation process and the simulation results are introduced in detail.