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通过 8 0多种测震学指标的筛选和多种稳定性试验 ,探索以一种新的指标筛选法——“对比筛选法”选取地震学单参数 ,在此基础上提取地震学综合预报指标 P值。由此 ,发展了一种新的测震学的定量综合预报方法 SQIP。同时研究了非测震学前兆综合指标 PP值的确定和应用效果检验及其空间扫描的动态显示 ,尝试了震兆指标和前兆指标联合应用于地震预报的研究。以动态的思维逻辑不断追踪地震活动的异常行为 ,判定地震在中短期的危险地点。应用数学物理方法将各种前兆观测量转换为统一的无量纲地震信息量。在华北地区时空扫描实例的检验中其预报效能 R为 0 .66,显示了一定的实用价值
Through the screening of more than 80 kinds of seismological indexes and various stability tests, this paper explores a new index screening method - the “comparative screening method” to select seismological single parameters, on this basis, to extract the seismological comprehensive forecast index P value. As a result, a new quantitative prediction method of seismology was developed. At the same time, the determination of the PP value of non-seismological precursory precursors and the application effect test and the dynamic display of their spatial scanning have been studied. At the same time, the joint application of the seismic trillion index and the precursor index to the study of earthquake prediction has been studied. Dynamic thinking logic to track the abnormal behavior of seismic activity, to determine the earthquake in the short-term dangerous locations. Mathematical and physical methods are applied to convert various precursory observational data into unified dimensionless seismic information. In North China, the space-time scanning example test showed that its prediction efficiency R was 0.66, which showed a certain practical value