美国电子工业协会预言,国防开支将减少40%,从1992年的2810亿美元降到2002年的1970亿美元。协会认为裁减绝大部分来自运转和维修,科学和技术的投资经费保持稳定。然而,研究开发、试验和评估在未来十年中将削减150～234亿美元。 The U.S. Electronics Industry Association predicts that defense spending will be reduced by 40% from $ 281 billion in 1992 to $ 197 billion in 2002. The Association believes that the bulk of the cuts come from operation and maintenance, and investment in science and technology remains stable. However, research and development, testing and evaluation will cut by 15 to 23.4 billion U.S. dollars over the next ten years.