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2013年伊始,北美和欧洲的油气公司对油价形势保持乐观。地缘政治持续紧张和高于预期的需求增长可能会使油价保持强势,而美国天然气钻井量的持续下降也可能导致天然气价格反弹。然而,同时也存在一些令油价下跌及阻碍气价反弹的风险因素,如果伊朗和叙利亚危机得以解除,影响油价的地缘政治风险溢价将消失,而一旦美国和欧洲脆弱的经济复苏出现中断,石油需求也将大幅下降。
At the beginning of 2013, oil and gas companies in North America and Europe remained optimistic about the oil price situation. Sustained geopolitical and higher-than-expected demand growth may keep oil prices strong, while a sustained decline in US gas drilling may also lead to a rebound in natural gas prices. However, there are also some risk factors that will lower oil prices and hinder the rebound of gas prices. If the crisis in Iran and Syria is lifted, the geopolitical risk premium affecting oil prices will disappear. In the event of a fragile economic recovery in the United States and Europe, oil demand It will also drop significantly.