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丰裕的自然资源对一个国家或地区的经济发展究竟是福音还是诅咒?本文以1998-2007年我国31个省市的经济增长为研究对象,对自然资源与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。计量结果显示,在控制了科技创新、人力资本、对外开放和制度等因素后,自然资源的丰裕度与经济增长之间确实存在着显著的负相关性,“资源祖咒”的命题在我国省际层面确实成立。
Whether abundant natural resources is a gospel or a curse to the economic development of a country or region? This paper takes the economic growth of 31 provinces and cities in our country from 1998 to 2007 as the research object, and makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between natural resources and economic growth . Measurement results show that there is a significant negative correlation between abundance of natural resources and economic growth after controlling for such factors as technological innovation, human capital, opening to the outside world and the system. The proposition of “resource ancestral curse” China’s provincial level indeed established.