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2017年以来,主要新兴经济体经济开始出现复苏迹象,尤其是对外贸易方面普遍表现突出,增速非常明显。但总体看,经济复苏基础仍不稳固。虽然主要国家经济形势出现了一些好转迹象,国际货币基金组织、世界银行等国际机构也纷纷调高了2017年全球经济增长预期,但仍应看到,主要新兴经济体结构性矛盾没有根本转变,其国内政策和局势的波动带来的冲击和挑战仍不确定,2017年和2018年的经济有望实现微弱复苏,但持续增长动力尚未形成。
Since 2017, the economies of the major emerging economies have started to show signs of recovery. In particular, they have generally shown outstanding performance in foreign trade and the growth rate has been very clear. However, on the whole, the foundation of economic recovery is still not stable. Although the economic situation in some major countries shows some signs of improvement, international agencies such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank have also raised their forecasts of global economic growth in 2017. However, it should be noted that structural contradictions in the major emerging economies have not fundamentally changed, The shocks and challenges posed by the volatility of their domestic policies and the situation remain uncertain. The economy of 2017 and 2018 is expected to see a slight recovery, but the momentum of sustained growth has not yet been established.