据专家分析,预计今年春季氮肥供需基本平衡,加之农业需求强劲、春耕启动早、出口政策适度调整等利好因素,春季氮肥市场有望产销两旺。据中国氮肥工业协会预计,1～4月份尿素消费量为3 125万t(实物量,下同)。其中,农业需求量为2 575万t,工业需求量为550万t。根据目前有效产能和各企业检修计划情况,预计3-4月份尿素日均产量在 According to experts’ analysis, it is estimated that the supply and demand of nitrogen fertilizer will be basically balanced this spring. Coupled with the strong demand of agriculture, the early start of spring plowing and the moderate adjustment of export policies, the spring nitrogenous fertilizer market is expected to be booming. According to the China National Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association, urea consumption in January-April was 31.25 million tons (in volume, the same below). Of this total, agricultural demand is 25.55 million tons and industrial demand is 5.5 million tons. According to the current effective production capacity and the maintenance plan of each enterprise, it is estimated that the average daily output of urea in March-April is