本文通过对粮食进口增加以后的利弊分析和相关因素分析，认为未来２０年内我国的粮食进口大体将保持在 ３０００～３５００万吨左右，不会对我国粮食安全构成实质性威胁，但对农民的生产和生活有较大影响。提出了加入ＷＴＯ后，必须来取的相应对策。 Based on the analysis of the pros and cons of food imports and related factors, the paper believes that in the next 20 years, China’s food imports will be maintained at about 3 to 35 million tons, which will not pose a substantial threat to China’s food security. However, the production of peasants And life has a greater impact. Put forward the corresponding countermeasures that must be taken after the accession to the WTO.