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回顾2016年我国外贸的整体情况可以看到,2016年,我国进出口总额下降,出口增速逐步探底,进口增速持续回升。2016年,按美元计价,货物贸易出口同比下降7.7%,降幅比上年扩大4.8个百分点;进口同比下降5.5%,降幅比上年收窄8.8个百分点(见图1)。首先,外需变化决定了2016年出口探底的走势。全球制造业PMI从2015年开始持续回落,到2016年二季度开始触底回升,支撑了全球贸易企稳。中国出口增速在2015年末、2016年初经历低
Recalling the overall situation of China’s foreign trade in 2016, we can see that in 2016, the total volume of China’s imports and exports dropped, the export growth rate gradually bottomed out and the import growth rate continued to rise. In 2016, in dollar terms, exports of merchandise trade decreased by 7.7% YoY, an increase of 4.8 percentage points from the previous year. Imports decreased by 5.5% YoY, a decrease of 8.8 percentage points from the previous year (Chart 1). First of all, the change of external demand determines the trend of export bottom in 2016. The global manufacturing PMI continued its decline from 2015 onwards and bottomed out in the second quarter of 2016, supporting the stabilization of global trade. China’s export growth experienced a slowdown in late 2015 and early 2016