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适当时候我们要检讨、反思,如何确保国家稳增长的政策能够在房地产业得到落实,或者使房地产这个产业成为稳增长的动力,而不是拖后腿。限购本来是解决需求过旺、供应不足的措施,长期化后就成了在行政干预下的供过于求。供过于求对房价有影响,降的是销售额,销售额后面却是企业效益大幅度下滑。房地产从2000年以后逐渐成为支柱产业,拉动了五、六十个产业。100亿的商品房投资能够拉动相关产业286亿的产出,拉动力系数是1:2.86。去年全国房地产新房销售5.9万亿,占了GDP总量的12.5%,再乘以1:2.86的拉动系数,拉动了35%左右GDP总量。12.5%加上35%,这样就占了48%,国
When appropriate, we should review and reflect on how to ensure that the government’s policy of steady growth can be implemented in the real estate industry or to make the real estate industry the driving force for steady growth instead of dragging its feet. Restrictions were originally intended to solve the problem of over-demand and insufficient supply. After a long period of time, the restriction of supply has become oversupplied under the administrative intervention. Supply oversupply has an impact on house prices, down sales, sales but behind a substantial decline in corporate profits. Real estate has gradually become a pillar industry since 2000, driving five or sixty industries. The investment of 10 billion commercial buildings can boost the output of 28.6 billion yuan from related industries, with a pulling factor of 1: 2.86. Last year, the country’s real estate sales of 5.9 trillion yuan, accounting for 12.5% of the total GDP, multiplied by 1: 2.86 pull coefficient, driving 35% of the total GDP. 12.5% plus 35%, this accounted for 48% of the country