肖梦:许多人对中国的经济景况不乐观,甚至有人挺悲观。我知道您近年来对中国经济是持比较肯定态度的,今天我们想请您谈一谈。你认为,中国经济面临的最大的问题是什么? 刘遵义:我觉得最主要的还是经济预期,因为经济预期影响经济行为,消费的行为和投资的行为都是跟预期有关系的。假如我知道今年增长率是8％,而明年不确定,可能下降到4％的话,人们就没有太大的意愿去消费,更没有太大的意愿去增加投资,所以,一定要对经济有比较长期持续性发展的预期才行。其实现在中国面临好像是在1991年左右同样的问题,货币政策并不紧而是相当的松,但是普遍来讲人们就是没有意愿去投资,后来到 Xiao Meng: Many people are not optimistic about China’s economic situation, and some are even pessimistic. I know you have a relatively positive attitude to the Chinese economy in recent years. Today we would like to invite you to talk about it. In your opinion, what is the biggest problem facing China’s economy? Liu Zunyi: I think the most important thing is economic expectation because the economy is expected to affect economic behavior, consumer behavior and investment behavior are expected to be related. If I know that this year’s growth rate will be 8%, and next year’s uncertainty may fall to 4%, people will not have much willingness to spend more and less will to increase their investment. Therefore, we must compare the economy The long-term sustainable development expected Caixing. In fact, China faces the same problem that appeared to be around 1991. Monetary policy was not tight but rather loose. However, people generally did not have the will to invest and later came