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经济犯罪是威胁与破坏我国市场经济秩序与国家经济安全最直接和最严重的犯罪。经济犯罪预警是对经济犯罪的超前防控,是减轻和避免其严重危害的有效途径。当前,其理论研究尚处探索阶段。本文概述了作为经济犯罪预警理论基础的现代系统理论的渊源、演化过程,精述了现代系统理论的系统定义及特性、系统结构及特性、系统功能、系统环境、系统演化等基本观点。以现代系统理论为指导,探讨建立经济犯罪预警的理论模型、概念体系、指标体系和机制评价指标体系。
Economic crime is the most direct and serious crime that threatens and undermines the order of China’s market economy and the economic security of the country. Economic crime warning is an advanced prevention and control of economic crimes and an effective way to mitigate and avoid its serious harm. At present, the theoretical research is still at the exploratory stage. This paper gives an overview of the origins and evolution of modern system theory, which is the basis of early warning theory of economic crime. It elaborates on the basic concepts of system definition and characteristics, system structure and characteristics, system functions, system environment and system evolution of modern system theory. Under the guidance of modern system theory, this paper discusses the establishment of theoretical model, conceptual system, index system and evaluation index system of economic crime warning.