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从经济发展阶段的理论分析,发展过程是一系列工业部门M_1,M_2,M_3,……Mi,……的建立,从结构上看,它们是互相关联,有序递增的。处于早期发展的国家,它所需要的大多数工业品稀缺,只存在几个初级工业部门,倘若在国内一个部门一个部门发展,不仅效率与国际水平无法比拟,而且要经过漫长的发展过程。但倘若这类国家采取一种积极的贸易战略,即发展国内资源出口,换回所需的工业品,并且一步步地积累资本(本国供应与外国供应),实现工业化发展。这种做法不但效率高,而且经历时间短,尤其是很多小国家做得更成功。这至少在理论上说明国家经济战略模式的选择是具有重要意义的。大致从六十年代中期起亚太发展中国家和地区陆续采用“出口导向工业化机制”的战略促进经济发展。它们采取投资资源的配置与按步就班地发展、宏观控制以及汇率政策,是十分重要的,但亚太各国和地区发展战略模式收效较大的基本原因并不主要在其作法本身,而是在于其依靠的各种内部和外部条件,经济的、地理的、国际关系的种种条件。其中特别重要的一个条件是,出口换汇能否成功,这种投资与贸易的关系是否能形成一种良性循环的机制。
From the theoretical analysis of the stage of economic development, the development process is the establishment of a series of industrial sectors M_1, M_2, M_3, ...... Mi, .... From a structural point of view, they are interconnected and orderly increasing. In an early stage of development, most of the industrial goods it needs are scarce, and there are only a few primary industries. If a single department in a country develops, it will not only be inefficient at an international level but also go through a long process of development. However, if such countries adopt a proactive trade strategy of developing exports of domestic resources, returning needed industrial goods, and gradually accumulating capital (domestic supply and foreign supply) and realizing industrialization. Not only is this method efficient and it has a short history, especially in many small countries. This at least in theory shows that the choice of national economic strategy is of great significance. From the mid-1960s, the developing countries and regions in Asia and the Pacific have successively adopted the strategy of “export-oriented industrialization mechanism” to promote economic development. It is very important that they take the configuration and step-by-step development of their investment resources, as well as their macro-control and exchange-rate policies. However, the basic reason why the development strategy model in various countries and regions in the Asia-Pacific region has been more effective does not depend mainly on its own practice. Instead, The various internal and external conditions it depends on, the conditions of economy, geography and international relations. One of the most important conditions is whether export exchange can succeed or not, and whether this relationship between investment and trade forms a virtuous circle.