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马尾松毛虫计算机预测预报系统—FIMS-1,是在马尾松毛虫预测预报系统模型基础上建立的。该系统能够模拟马尾松毛虫种群数量随时间的变化及空间区域的迁移扩散,能估算马尾松毛虫对针叶造成的损夫,进而可以对马尾松毛虫发生量、发生地、发生面积及针叶被害程度进行预测。为马尾松毛虫的综合管理决策提供必要的信息。系统的主要特点是通用性、显示的直观性及预测预报输入要求的灵活性,非常适于在广大林区推广。用安徽省潜山县黄埔试验点数据输入该系统,运行结果与该地松毛虫发生规律基本吻合,说明该系统是可行的。
Masson pine caterpillar computer forecasting and forecasting system-FIMS-1, is based on the Masson pine caterpillar forecasting and forecasting system model established. The system can simulate the population change of Dendrolimus punctatus over time and the migration and diffusion of space area, and can estimate the loss of dendrolimus caused by Dendrolimus punctatus on the needles, and then can estimate the amount of dendrolimus punctatus, occurrence area, Predict the extent of victimization. Provide the necessary information for the decision-making of the integrated management of the Dendrolimus punctatus. The main features of the system are versatility, visual display and the flexibility of forecast input requirements, is very suitable for promotion in the vast forest area. The data were input into the system from Huangpu pilot station in Qianshan County, Anhui Province. The results of the operation were in good agreement with those of the pine caterpillars in the area, indicating that the system is feasible.