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项目活动通常具有一次性、唯一性等特点,必须在规定的资源、时间、预算内完成确定的目标,其不确定性要比一般活动大许多,因而项目风险的评价更加困难和迫切。在简要分析层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评价法优点的基础上,提出在风险评价中使用AHP-模糊综合评价方法,并应用于实际项目风险评价。结果表明,该方法具有两种方法的优点,能够较好地评价项目风险。
The project activity usually has one-time, uniqueness and other characteristics. The definite target must be accomplished within the specified resources, time and budget. The uncertainty is much larger than that of the general activity. Therefore, the project risk assessment is more difficult and urgent. Based on a brief analysis of the advantages of AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the AHP-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is proposed for risk assessment and applied to actual project risk assessment. The results show that this method has the advantages of two methods, which can evaluate the project risk better.